A Potential Mess

The stream of decisions regarding whether or not Trump’s name ends up on ballots in 2024 has begun.

So far, Colorado and Maine have said No, Michigan has said Yes to the primary ballot but has withheld a decision on the November ballot. And therein lies the potential rat’s nest we’re heading towards– electoral chaos, as CNN puts it– even if the Supreme Court doesn’t drag its feet and decides to make a decision on this in a timely manner.

My question arises from that decision, whichever way it ends up coming down: What will keep states from ignoring it? Seems to me that we’re heading deeper into the weeds, regardless of how the SCOTUS rules. Someone’s gonna be unhappy. Blue states may or may not abide by any ruling, and red states will likely disregard it if the court ends up ruling against Trump.

I guess what I’m saying is that Supreme Court decisions don’t necessarily hold water—look at the overturning of Roe v Wade. Even though the two cases are not apples and apples, states will have their opportunity to counter with their own initiatives, or, in Trump’s case, by just including Trump’s name anyway.

The wild card may be if there are enforced consequences for somebody if states disregard the SC ruling—fines, jail time, etc.

I wonder what kind of odds Vegas might offer regarding a stacked SCOTUS ruling against Trump. Ooh… another thing to bet on!

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